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Gold Dec '24 (GCZ24)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains and Gold Falls on the Outlook for Less Aggressive Fed Easing

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday climbed to a 1-1/2 week high and finished up by +0.37%.  The dollar found support from Friday’s US personal spending and the core PCE reports, which dampened speculation the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 bp at next month’s FOMC meeting.  The dollar also found support from month-end position rebalancing.  In addition, higher T-note yields Friday gave the dollar a boost. 

US July personal spending rose +0.5% m/m, right on expectations.  July personal income rose +0.3% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.2% m/m.

The US July core PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, remained unchanged from June at +2.6% y/y, better than expectations of an increase to +2.7% y/y.

The US Aug MNI Chicago PMI unexpectedly rose ++0.8 to 46.1, stronger than expectations of a decline to 44.8.

The University of Michigan's Aug US consumer sentiment index was revised upward by +0.1 to 67.9, weaker than expectations of 68.1.

The ma... Read more

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