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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rallies as US Government Shutdown is Averted

The dollar index (DXY00) today is up +0.58%, recovering some ground after its -0.73% decline seen last Friday. 

The dollar today is seeing support from improved US interest rate differentials, with the 10-year T-note yield up +4 bp.  The dollar is also seeing support after Congress last Friday passed a stop-gap funding bill and averted a US government shutdown, which would have been negative for the US economy. 

The dollar has shaken off today's weaker-than-expected US economic reports.

Today's Nov US durable goods report was weaker than expected, although capital goods orders were a bit stronger than expected.  Nov US durable goods orders fell -1.1% m/m, weaker than expectations of -0.3%, although Oct was revised higher to +0.8% from +0.3%.  Nov durable goods orders ex-transportation fell -0.1%, weaker than expectations of +0.3%.  Nov capital goods orders ex defense and aircraft, a proxy for capital spending, rose +0.7% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.1%. Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
60,208 (-82,165)
57,107 (-60,668)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
81,247 (+9,061)
87,208 (-10,730)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
19,866 (-58,874)
4,548 (-31,100)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
52,132 (+7,209)
46,402 (-3,793)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
60,105 (+5,863)
22,969 (-7,708)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
2,696 (+174)
63,740 (-1,321)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
148.649 +5.72%
on 12/03/24
157.926 -0.49%
on 12/20/24
+2.391 (+1.54%)
since 11/22/24
3-Month
141.655 +10.94%
on 09/30/24
157.926 -0.49%
on 12/20/24
+13.547 (+9.43%)
since 09/23/24
52-Week
139.581 +12.59%
on 09/16/24
161.948 -2.96%
on 07/03/24
+14.691 (+10.31%)
since 12/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 159.541
2nd Resistance Point 158.734
1st Resistance Point 157.573
Last Price 157.208
1st Support Level 155.605
2nd Support Level 154.798
3rd Support Level 153.637

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52-Week High 161.948
Last Price 157.208
Fibonacci 61.8% 153.404
Fibonacci 50% 150.764
Fibonacci 38.2% 148.125
52-Week Low 139.581

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