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U.S. Dollar/Australian Dollar (^USDAUD)

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U.S. Dollar/Australian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Gains on Hawkish Fed Comments and Higher Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday rose by +0.13%.  Higher T-note yields Wednesday supported modest gains in the dollar.  Also, hawkish comments from Boston Fed President Collins were bullish for the dollar when she said interest rates will likely need to be held higher for longer to reduce price pressures.

US Mar wholesale trade sales unexpectedly fell -1.3% m/m, weaker than expectations of a +0.8% m/m increase.

Boston Fed President Collins said, "The recent upward surprises to activity and inflation suggest the likely need to keep policy at its current level until we have greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2% and that the recent data lead me to believe this will take more time than previously thought."

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 10% for the June 11-12 FOMC meeting and 34% for the following meeting on July 30-31.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Wednesday fell by -0.09%.  The euro finished slightly lower... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 30, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
65,235 (+6,096)
157,629 (-16,386)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
124,528 (-15,140)
41,293 (-2,136)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
10,239 (+2,985)
135,189 (-13,246)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
128,405 (-8,658)
39,197 (+2,950)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
47,310 (-3,096)
14,099 (-7,939)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
0 (unch)
6,628 (-12)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.5037 +1.10%
on 05/03/24
1.5718 -3.28%
on 04/19/24
+0.0116 (+0.77%)
since 04/09/24
3-Month
1.4998 +1.36%
on 03/08/24
1.5718 -3.28%
on 04/19/24
-0.0126 (-0.82%)
since 02/09/24
52-Week
1.4493 +4.89%
on 06/16/23
1.5949 -4.68%
on 10/26/23
+0.0413 (+2.79%)
since 05/09/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.5347
2nd Resistance Point 1.5298
1st Resistance Point 1.5249
Last Price 1.5202
1st Support Level 1.5151
2nd Support Level 1.5102
3rd Support Level 1.5053

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52-Week High 1.5949
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.5393
Fibonacci 50% 1.5221
Last Price 1.5202
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.5049
52-Week Low 1.4493

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