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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar (^USDCAD)

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U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Euro Weakness Boosts the Dollar to a 2-Year High

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday rose by +0.55% and posted a 2-year high. Friday’s weaker-than-expected Eurozone economic news signals a struggling European economy that is weighing on the euro to the dollar’s benefit.  The dollar extended its gains Friday after the US Nov S&P manufacturing and service PMIs increased.  Gains in the dollar were limited after the University of Michigan US Nov consumer sentiment index unexpectedly declined.

The US Nov S&P manufacturing PMI rose +0.3 to a 4-month high of 48.8, slightly weaker than expectations of 48.9.  The Nov S&P services PMI rose +2.0 to 57.0, stronger than expectations of no change at 55.0 and the strongest pace of expansion in 2-1/2 years. 

The University of Michigan US Nov consumer sentiment index unexpectedly fell -1.2 to 71.8, weaker than expectations of an increase to 73.9.

The markets are discounting the chances at 53% for a -25 bp rate cut at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Friday fel... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 19, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
95,079 (+3,133)
285,755 (+2,477)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
207,470 (+3,070)
23,904 (+1,893)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
13,678 (+4,256)
242,239 (-494)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
170,882 (-331)
28,064 (+103)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
96,560 (-2,019)
10,857 (+2,917)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
15,798 (+3,363)
22,868 (+910)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.38128 +0.93%
on 10/24/24
1.41055 -1.16%
on 11/15/24
+0.01240 (+0.90%)
since 10/22/24
3-Month
1.34198 +3.89%
on 09/25/24
1.41055 -1.16%
on 11/15/24
+0.03260 (+2.39%)
since 08/22/24
52-Week
1.31775 +5.80%
on 12/27/23
1.41055 -1.16%
on 11/15/24
+0.02537 (+1.85%)
since 11/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.40734
2nd Resistance Point 1.40470
1st Resistance Point 1.39942
Last Price 1.39414
1st Support Level 1.39150
2nd Support Level 1.38886
3rd Support Level 1.38358

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52-Week High 1.41055
Last Price 1.39414
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.37510
Fibonacci 50% 1.36415
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.35320
52-Week Low 1.31775

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