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Wed, Mar 11th, 2026

Don Dawson

Wed, Mar 11th, 2026

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don is an independent commodity futures trader with 36-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He had previously instructed futures classes for an international trading school for 15 years, for which he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is an author and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart, where he discusses the futures markets as a regular guest on various domestic and international podcasts.

Most Recent Stories

WTI Crude Oil May Futures — Geopolitical Turmoil Meets Seasonal Demand

Front-month WTI rallied back into the mid-$70s — the highest since mid-2025. Meanwhile, the May26/June26 calendar spread flipped from parity to a $2.22 premium to May. That’s structural tightening,...

CYK26 : 84.11 (+2.45%)
USO : 105.86 (+1.47%)
CLK26 : 84.12 (+2.46%)
QMK26 : 84.200 (+2.56%)
Chicago Board of Trade Wheat Futures: Is a Sustained Rally Brewing?

Geopolitics alert: The 2026 US-Israel-Iran conflict has disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, spiking oil & freight costs. Higher energy = pricier fertilizer/transport → potential floor under wheat prices....

XWK26 : 594-4 (+0.59%)
WTK26 : 596.5 (+0.93%)
WEAT : 22.73 (-1.09%)
ZWK26 : 595-4 (+0.76%)
Why Do Lean Hog Prices Cool Off After February?

Lean Hog prices have a rhythm. Every year, supply peaks Oct–Dec as hog marketing hits full stride. More slaughter = more pork = seasonal pressure on wholesale prices. For speculators & hedgers, this...

DBA : 26.61 (+0.23%)
HEM26 : 110.650s (+0.68%)
DBC : 27.60 (+1.69%)
Speculators Fell in Love—The Market Didn’t: Silver After Valentine’s Day

Historically, post–Valentine’s Day seasonals haven’t shown much love for silver. A short-term dip wouldn’t be surprising. The bigger trend? Still open for debate.

SIVR : 84.11 (+2.32%)
SOK26 : 86.920 (-2.98%)
SIK26 : 86.920 (-2.98%)
SLV : 80.09 (+2.34%)
Crude Oil Breakout Backed by Seasonals, Technicals, and COT Report

Crude Oil fun fact: Crude Oil doesn't need bullish headlines to rally.It needs seasonals + structure + smart money alignment. Those boxes are getting checked.

CYK26 : 84.11 (+2.45%)
USO : 105.86 (+1.47%)
CLK26 : 84.12 (+2.46%)
QMK26 : 84.200 (+2.56%)
Groundhog Day Gloom? Why the Nasdaq Is Shaking Off Phil's Shadow and Facing Reality

Punxsutawney Phil says six more weeks of winter. Traders say, "That explains the mood." Jokes aside, a key seasonal pattern is lining up for the Nasdaq—and it matters more than the weather!

NVDA : 184.77 (+1.16%)
META : 654.07 (+1.03%)
NMH26 : 25,017.25 (+0.14%)
AAPL : 260.83 (+0.37%)
ESH26 : 6,798.00 (+0.16%)
ETH26 : 6,798.00 (+0.16%)
QQQ : 607.77 (unch)
MSFT : 405.76 (-0.89%)
YMH26 : 47,808 (+0.13%)
NQH26 : 25,017.25 (+0.14%)
TQQQ : 49.40 (+0.02%)
AMZN : 214.33 (+0.39%)
Copper Shortage Isn't a Blip! It's the New Reality for Traders

Historical pattern alert: Copper loves to correct hard right after new ATHs. We're in that window now! Could see more chop into end-Jan before the seasonal spring higher. But the macro? Demand outrunning...

QLH26 : 5.9855s (+0.93%)
HGH26 : 5.8025 (-1.72%)
Quota Panic Fades as Live Cattle Eyes New Highs

Live Cattle Seasonal patterns are lining up like clockwork for another leg higher.Drought legacy + minimal heifer retention = no quick relief in sight.Tight supply still king in 2026!

LEJ26 : 232.375s (+0.97%)
Why Venezuela's Oil Comeback Won't Move Natural Gas Prices in 2026

January Nat Gas seasonal softness is showing up right on cue, thanks to those stuffed late-fall storage levels acting as a price cushion during peak winter demand. Charts + fundamentals lining up perfectly....

CNJ26 : 3.053 (+1.09%)
NGJ26 : 3.053 (+1.09%)
RBJ26 : 2.6993 (+2.23%)
QGJ26 : 3.050 (+0.99%)
UNG : 12.27 (-0.32%)
Why the Mexican Peso Could Keep Crushing the U.S. Dollar in 2026

The Mexican Peso crushed it in 2025 – up over 20% vs the USD! Higher rates in Mexico, a nearshoring boom from U.S. and Canadian companies, and a softer dollar made it happen. Peso is heading into 2026...

M6H26 : 0.056820 (-0.11%)
^USDMXN : 17.5902 (-0.04%)

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Will the S&P 500 $SPY finish this year red?
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Americans are taking hardship withdrawals from their retirement accounts at the fastest pace in history warns Vanguard 🚨🚨 https://t.co/Hglnksd6LW
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Oracle $ORCL getting sent on earnings 📈📈 https://t.co/nyxsl1o0Yr
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Stock Market Rug Pull End of Day 📉📉 https://t.co/7GN1wM3zAJ
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BREAKING 🚨: Nike$NKE headed for its 8th consecutive red day and its lowest closing price in 11 months 📉📉 https://t.co/xyA45jn3L5
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BREAKING 🚨: Campbell's Soup$CPB falls to its lowest price since the Global Financial Crisis 📉📉 Damn this stock sucks! 😂 https://t.co/itZm09CeR1
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JUST IN 🚨: U.S. Treasury completes buyback of $14.7 Billion worth of debt, the LARGEST Treasury buyback in history 🤯👀 https://t.co/7a2MagzWi9
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The U.S. is headed for a "serious recession" next year warns veteran Wall Street strategist David Rosenberg 🚨🚨 https://t.co/hlsPyurPlL
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The odds of an interest rate cut this month have fallen to basically 0% 🚨🚨 https://t.co/AlUfOpUXG1
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Waiting for the replies: "Hey Barchart, so that means 65% something good happens right?"
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