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U.S. Dollar/Australian Dollar (^USDAUD)

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U.S. Dollar/Australian Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Despite Strong US GDP Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday fell by -0.35%, as bearish underlying dollar sentiment outweighed Tuesday’s stronger-than-expected US GDP report and the reduced odds for Fed easing.  The markets on Tuesday reduced the odds for a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting to 13% from 20%.

The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates by another +25 bp in 2026, and the ECB is expected to leave rates unchanged in 2026. 

The dollar is also under pressure as the Fed boosts liquidity in the financial system, having begun purchasing $40 billion a month in T-bills in mid-December.  The dollar is also being undercut by concerns that President Trump intends to appoint a dovish Fed Chair, which would be bearish for the dollar.  Mr. Trump recently said that he will announce his selection for the new Fed Chair in early 2026.  Bloomberg reported that National Economic Co... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 16, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
102,167 (-36,963)
103,738 (-80,478)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
89,535 (-30,981)
67,640 (+10,071)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
67,724 (+37,093)
41,956 (-8,619)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
93,582 (-15,700)
52,719 (+5,423)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
25,437 (-13,563)
64,914 (+7,351)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
600 (unch)
7,430 (+1,212)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.4886 +0.17%
on 12/24/25
1.5537 -4.03%
on 11/25/25
-0.0561 (-3.61%)
since 11/24/25
3-Month
1.4886 +0.17%
on 12/24/25
1.5574 -4.26%
on 11/21/25
-0.0283 (-1.85%)
since 09/24/25
52-Week
1.4886 +0.17%
on 12/24/25
1.6907 -11.81%
on 04/09/25
-0.1127 (-7.02%)
since 12/24/24

Most Recent Stories

More News
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GBPAUD and GBPNZD Currency Pairs Are Poised for Further Declines

Both GBPAUD and GBPNZD are approaching key technical resistance zones, where corrective structures appear to be nearing completion. If confirmed, current price action may open the door for renewed bearish...

USDCAD Breaks Lower as Commodity Currencies Outperform

USDCAD continues to weaken as commodity currencies outperform and central banks signal an end to rate cuts. Elliott wave structure suggests a bearish trend with a potential wave four rally before further...

SP500 Remains Bullish After The FED Meeting

S&P 500 has made a very nice retracement recently; in fact for almost the whole November we have seen a pullback of around 5 to 6%, which is quite a lot for the S&P 500, and what is really important is...

GBPUSD Extends Rally As Bullish Impulse Builds

Cable is coming nicely to the upside, pushing well above the 1.3251 level and trendline resistance, and also breaking out of the base channel. This suggests we are in a third leg, and if this is wave three...

Aussie Dollar Poised for Upside as Trendline Break Signals Shift

AUD/USD reacted exactly as forecasted from the November lows, delivering a strong impulsive rebound that suggests the corrective decline may now be over. Our November 21st update anticipated a limited...

Silver: December Highs, Gold and Miners: December Lows

The silver disconnection is real.

EURNZD May Have Topped

EURNZD May Have Topped, as we see a completed five-wave impulse within 5th wave from technical point of view and by Elliott wave model.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

See More Share

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.5100
2nd Resistance Point 1.5064
1st Resistance Point 1.4992
Last Price 1.4910
1st Support Level 1.4884
2nd Support Level 1.4848
3rd Support Level 1.4776

See More

52-Week High 1.6907
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.6135
Fibonacci 50% 1.5897
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.5658
Last Price 1.4910
52-Week Low 1.4886

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