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Gold Feb '25 (GCG25)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Retreats on Euro Strength and Lower T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday fell by -0.42%.  Strength in the euro Monday weighed on the dollar as EUR/USD rose on hawkish comments from ECB Governing Council member Nagel, who said central banks may have to raise interest rates should international tensions intensify and lead to more significant inflationary pressures.  The dollar extended its losses Monday after T-note yields gave up an early advance and turned lower, weakening the dollar’s interest rate differentials. 

Monday’s unexpected increase in the US Nov NAHB housing market index to a 7-month high supported the dollar.  Also, weakness in the Japanese yen boosted the dollar. 

The US Nov NAHB housing market index unexpectedly rose +3 to a 7-month high of 46, stronger than expectations of a decline to 42.

The markets are discounting the chances at 62% for a -25 bp rate cut at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Monday rose by +0.51%.  The euro Monday posted moderate gains based on... Read more

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