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Gold Apr '12 (GCJ12)

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[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Fri, Nov 29th, 2024.
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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls as Bond Yields Slide and Stocks Rally

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday fell by -0.31% and posted a 2-1/2 week low. Friday’s decline in T-note yields weighed on the dollar.  Also, Friday’s rally in the S&P 500 to a record high reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. 

The markets are discounting the chances at 66% for a -25 bp rate cut at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Friday rose by +0.30% and posted a new 1-week high. Friday’s dollar weakness supported modest gains in the euro.  However, weaker than expected Eurozone Nov core CPI and a sharper than expected decline in German Oct retail sales are dovish for ECB policy and bearish for the euro. Also, dovish comments were made on Friday by ECB Vice President Guindos and ECB Governing Council member Stournaras undercutting the euro.

Eurozone Nov CPI rose +2.3% y/y, right on expectations.  Nov core CPI rose +2.7% y/y, weaker than expectations of +2.8% y/y.

The ECB's Oct 1-year inflation expectations unexpectedly increased to +2.5%... Read more

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