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Gold Micro Feb '25 (GRG25)

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Gold Micro Futures Market News and Commentary

Strong Stocks and Dovish Fed President Barkin Weigh on the Dollar

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday fell by -0.42%.  The dollar fell back from Thursday’s 2-year high as strength in stocks on Friday reduced liquidity demand for the dollar.  Losses in the dollar accelerated due to dovish comments from Richmond Fed President Barkin, who said the Fed doesn’t need to be as restrictive as it once thought.  On the positive side for the dollar was the rise in T-note yields on the stronger-than-expected US Dec ISM manufacturing index, a hawkish factor for Fed policy. 

The US Dec ISM manufacturing index unexpectedly rose +0.9 to a 9-month high of 49.3, stronger than expectations of a decline to 48.2.

Richmond Fed President Barkin said, “Inflation is not yet back to target, so we still have more work to do, but we don’t think we need to be as restrictive as we once were to finish that job.”

The markets are discounting the chances at 11% for a -25 bp rate cut at the January 28-29 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Friday rose by +0.41%.  Fr... Read more

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