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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Dips on Dovish Comments from Fed Chair Powell

The dollar index (DXY00) Tuesday fell by -0.17%.  The dollar on Tuesday moved lower, pressured by a decline in T-note yields. The dollar extended its losses Tuesday based on dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell, who said prices now show signs of resuming their disinflation trend.  Losses in the dollar were limited after the US May Jolt job openings unexpectedly increased, a sign of strength in the labor market that is hawkish for Fed policy.  Also, weakness in the yen supported the dollar after the yen tumbled to a new 37-year low against the dollar Tuesday.

The US May JOLTS job openings unexpectedly rose +221,000 to 8.140 million, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of a decline to 7.946 million.

Fed Chair Powell said prices now show signs of resuming their disinflation trend, and the Fed can "take its time" with interest rate cuts with a strong economy and a job market.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 9% for the Jul... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 25, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
390,837 (+4,725)
400,604 (-13,372)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
167,370 (-4,094)
175,801 (+12,288)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
13,201 (+1,070)
278,823 (-11,026)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
396,476 (-2,753)
155,008 (+5,704)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
78,729 (+333)
90,328 (+3,113)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
30,551 (+1,293)
12,996 (+437)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.06661 +0.81%
on 06/26/24
1.09159 -1.50%
on 06/04/24
-0.01522 (-1.40%)
since 06/03/24
3-Month
1.06016 +1.42%
on 04/16/24
1.09159 -1.50%
on 06/04/24
-0.00837 (-0.77%)
since 04/03/24
52-Week
1.04487 +2.91%
on 10/03/23
1.12754 -4.64%
on 07/18/23
-0.01611 (-1.48%)
since 07/03/23

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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis Looking for $USDCHF to Correct in Wave (2)

Short Term Elliott Wave in (USDCHF) suggests pair ended the move down from 5.1.2024 high as wave (1) at 0.882. Wave (2) corrective rally is now in progress to correct cycle from 5.1.2024 high.

^USDCHF : 0.90437 (+0.05%)
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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis on AUDJPY Looking to End Wave 5

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^AUDJPY : 108.178 (+0.51%)
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USDCHF Turns Bullish, Since SNB Cut Rates

USD/CHF is turning higher, rebounding from the 0.8825 low after the Swiss National Bank's recent rate cut. We are now observing a clear 5-wave rise from the June low

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.07951
2nd Resistance Point 1.07711
1st Resistance Point 1.07583
Last Price 1.07523
1st Support Level 1.07215
2nd Support Level 1.06975
3rd Support Level 1.06847

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52-Week High 1.12754
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.09596
Fibonacci 50% 1.08621
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.07645
Last Price 1.07523
52-Week Low 1.04487

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