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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Sees Support From Higher T-note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose by +0.20%, extending Monday's gain of +0.39% and recovering a bit farther after last Friday's -0.73% decline.

The dollar saw support from improved US interest rate differentials, with the 10-year T-note yield Tuesday rising slightly by +0.2 bp and adding to Monday's gain of +6 bp.

The dollar this week has shown a mild recovery after falling sharply by -0.88% last Friday on the weaker-than-expected US PCE price index report, which was dovish for FOMC policy. The dollar this week has seen support from higher T-note yields and the fact that Congress last Friday passed a stop-gap funding bill and averted a US government shutdown, which would have been negative for the US economy. 

The Philadelphia Fed's Dec non-manufacturing activity index fell by -0.1 point to -6.0 from -5.9 in November, weaker than expectations for an increase to -2.4.

The markets are discounting the chances at 9% for a -25 bp rate cut at the January 28-... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
340,837 (-111,474)
292,748 (-104,847)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
152,671 (-4,704)
218,566 (-14,382)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
22,018 (-60,120)
169,508 (-55,214)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
333,070 (+2,360)
170,058 (+1,882)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
75,931 (-844)
114,176 (-6,520)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
24,959 (-6,443)
20,042 (-8,246)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.03432 +0.57%
on 12/20/24
1.06297 -2.14%
on 12/06/24
-0.00182 (-0.17%)
since 11/22/24
3-Month
1.03336 +0.66%
on 11/22/24
1.12140 -7.24%
on 09/25/24
-0.07775 (-6.95%)
since 09/24/24
52-Week
1.03336 +0.66%
on 11/22/24
1.12140 -7.24%
on 09/25/24
-0.06105 (-5.54%)
since 12/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.04402
2nd Resistance Point 1.04252
1st Resistance Point 1.04137
Last Price 1.04021
1st Support Level 1.03872
2nd Support Level 1.03722
3rd Support Level 1.03607

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52-Week High 1.12140
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.08777
Fibonacci 50% 1.07738
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.06699
Last Price 1.04021
52-Week Low 1.03336

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