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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Euro Weakness Boosts the Dollar to a 2-Year High

The dollar index (DXY00) Friday rose by +0.55% and posted a 2-year high. Friday’s weaker-than-expected Eurozone economic news signals a struggling European economy that is weighing on the euro to the dollar’s benefit.  The dollar extended its gains Friday after the US Nov S&P manufacturing and service PMIs increased.  Gains in the dollar were limited after the University of Michigan US Nov consumer sentiment index unexpectedly declined.

The US Nov S&P manufacturing PMI rose +0.3 to a 4-month high of 48.8, slightly weaker than expectations of 48.9.  The Nov S&P services PMI rose +2.0 to 57.0, stronger than expectations of no change at 55.0 and the strongest pace of expansion in 2-1/2 years. 

The University of Michigan US Nov consumer sentiment index unexpectedly fell -1.2 to 71.8, weaker than expectations of an increase to 73.9.

The markets are discounting the chances at 53% for a -25 bp rate cut at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) Friday fel... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 5, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
381,704 (-19,967)
381,087 (+10,864)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
159,900 (+587)
181,553 (-28,064)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
35,168 (-21,772)
255,641 (+12,656)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
360,538 (-4,790)
143,086 (-30,193)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
79,747 (+4,343)
103,781 (-1,835)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
28,567 (+1,710)
22,548 (+1,043)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.03336 +0.84%
on 11/22/24
1.09369 -4.72%
on 11/06/24
-0.03795 (-3.51%)
since 10/22/24
3-Month
1.03336 +0.84%
on 11/22/24
1.12140 -7.08%
on 09/25/24
-0.06918 (-6.23%)
since 08/22/24
52-Week
1.03336 +0.84%
on 11/22/24
1.12140 -7.08%
on 09/25/24
-0.04682 (-4.30%)
since 11/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.06659
2nd Resistance Point 1.05821
1st Resistance Point 1.05012
Last Price 1.04203
1st Support Level 1.03365
2nd Support Level 1.02527
3rd Support Level 1.01718

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52-Week High 1.12140
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.08777
Fibonacci 50% 1.07738
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.06699
Last Price 1.04203
52-Week Low 1.03336

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