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Cocoa #7 Dec '24 (CAZ24)

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Cocoa #7 Futures Market News and Commentary

Cocoa Prices Sink as Weak Global Demand May Boost Surpluses

March ICE NY cocoa (CCH26) on Tuesday closed down -428 (-8.43%).  March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26) closed down -302 (-8.28%).

Cocoa prices plunged on Tuesday, with NY cocoa posting a 2-year nearest-futures low and London cocoa posting a 2.25-year nearest-futures low.  Cocoa prices are falling due to concerns that weak global cocoa demand will lead to larger cocoa surpluses.  Last week's cocoa grinding data from Europe has dampened hopes of a near-term recovery in cocoa demand.

Global cocoa demand remains tepid, pressuring prices.  Last Thursday, the European Cocoa Association reported that Q4 European cocoa grindings fell -8.3% y/y to 304,470 MT, a bigger decline than expectations of -2.9% y/y and the lowest for a Q4 in 12 years.  Last Friday, the Cocoa Association of Asia reported that Q4 Asian cocoa grindings fell -4.8% y/y to 197,022 MT.  Also, the National Confectioners Association reported Q4 North American cocoa grindings rose only +0.3% y/y to 103,117 MT.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Cocoa #7
Contract Size
10 metric tonnes
Tick Size
GBP 1 per metric tonne (GBP 10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
9:30a.m. - 4:50p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE/EU
Point Value
GBP 10
Expiration Date
12/12/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Cocoa #7 Dec '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
6,240 +32.44%
on 11/13/24
8,579 -3.67%
on 12/09/24
+2,019 (+32.33%)
since 11/12/24
3-Month
4,862 +69.97%
on 10/03/24
8,579 -3.67%
on 12/09/24
+2,952 (+55.57%)
since 09/12/24
52-Week
2,907 +184.28%
on 01/08/24
8,579 -3.67%
on 12/09/24
+5,210 (+170.60%)
since 12/12/23

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 8,264
2nd Resistance Point 8,264
1st Resistance Point 8,264
Last Price 8,264s
1st Support Level 8,264
2nd Support Level 8,264
3rd Support Level 8,264

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52-Week High 8,579
Last Price 8,264s
Fibonacci 61.8% 6,412
Fibonacci 50% 5,743
Fibonacci 38.2% 5,074
52-Week Low 2,907

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