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Gold Aug '24 (GCQ24)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Slightly on US Political Uncertainty

The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday fell slightly by -0.08%.  The dollar was undercut by US political uncertainty and reduced liquidity demand due to the rally in stocks.  The dollar saw underlying support from the +1.6 bp rise in the 10-year T-note yield to 4.255%, which supported the dollar’s interest rate differentials.

US political uncertainty rose after President Biden dropped out of the presidential race on Sunday and endorsed Vice President Harris.  The markets will be watching to see how quickly VP Harris can wrap up the nomination as the Democratic presidential candidate and how she polls against Mr. Trump once she becomes the nominee. 

The recent market narrative has been that a Trump win would be bullish for the dollar because a Trump administration would likely pursue tax cuts and a stimulative fiscal policy, which would be hawkish for Fed policy and thus bullish for the dollar. However, Mr. Trump has voiced support for a weaker dollar as a stimulus measure fo... Read more

  • Dollar Falls Slightly on US Political Uncertainty

    The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday fell slightly by -0.08%. The dollar was undercut by US political uncertainty and reduced liquidity demand due to the...

  • Dollar Little Changed Despite US Political Uncertainty

    The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is little changed. The dollar is holding its own despite bearish factors that include US political uncertainty, slightly...

  • Trading Crowdstrike Disaster + Market Updates

    In today’s report, gain valuable insights into key indices such as E-mini S&P and NQ, as well as commodities like Crude Oil, Gold, and Silver. In today’s...

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