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Gold Jun '23 (GCM23)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Slightly Lower as T-note Yields Fall After Dovish US Deflator

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday fell slightly by -0.05% in lackluster trading.  The dollar was undercut by Friday's -5.1 bp decline in the 10-year T-note yield to 4.190%, which followed the dovish US PCE deflator report, the Fed's preferred inflation measure.

Friday's PCE deflator report was close to expectations and supported the case for a FOMC rate cut in September.  On a month-on-month basis, the June PCE deflator report of +0.1% m/m (headline) and +0.2% (core) was exactly in line with market expectations.  On a year-on-year basis, the June PCE deflator of +2.5% y/y was in line with market expectations, fell from +2.6% in May, and matched the 3-1/4 year low of +2.5% posted earlier this year.  The June core PCE deflator of +2.6% y/y was slightly stronger than expectations of +2.5% and was unchanged from May's 3-1/4 year low of +2.6%.

The fact that both the headline and core PCE deflators were at 3-1/4 year lows in June was a dovish factor for Fed policy.  Also, the... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$11,000/10,000
First Notice Date
05/31/23
Expiration Date
06/28/23 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Jun '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 23, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
102,237 (-7,804)
403,162 (-16,183)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
341,600 (-8,227)
68,526 (+3,723)
Producers - Long / Short
15,685 (-8,104)
69,900 (-14,207)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
58,598 (-4,077)
305,308 (-6,353)
Managed Money - Long / Short
197,802 (-18,700)
34,942 (+2,972)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
143,798 (+10,473)
33,584 (+751)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,912.1 +0.01%
on 06/22/23
1,983.0 -3.57%
on 06/01/23
-32.0 (-1.65%)
since 05/26/23
3-Month
1,912.1 +0.01%
on 06/22/23
2,085.4 -8.30%
on 05/04/23
-78.1 (-3.92%)
since 03/28/23
52-Week
1,662.5 +15.03%
on 09/28/22
2,085.4 -8.30%
on 05/04/23
+33.7 (+1.79%)
since 06/28/22

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DXY00 : 104.316s (-0.04%)
^EURUSD : 1.08559 (+0.09%)
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SIU24 : 28.020s (+0.16%)
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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1,912.3
2nd Resistance Point 1,912.3
1st Resistance Point 1,912.3
Last Price 1,912.3s
1st Support Level 1,912.3
2nd Support Level 1,912.3
3rd Support Level 1,912.3

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52-Week High 2,085.4
Fibonacci 61.8% 1,923.9
Last Price 1,912.3s
Fibonacci 50% 1,873.9
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,824.0
52-Week Low 1,662.5

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