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Japanese Yen Mar '25 (J6H25)

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Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Sharply on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and ended the day down -0.72%.  The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy and caused weaker US interest rate differentials with the 10-year T-note yield down -4 bp.  In addition, Friday’s US personal spending and consumer sentiment reports were slightly weaker than expected.

The dollar was also undercut by US political uncertainty as the US government faced a shutdown at midnight Friday if Congress does pass a stop-gap spending bill.

Friday’s PCE price index report was a bit weaker than expected, which could give the FOMC a bit more leeway to cut interest rates.  The Nov PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.4% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.5% y/y.  The Nov core PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.8% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.9% y/y.

Friday’s headline Nov PCE price index report of +2.... Read more

  • Dollar Climbs on Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations

    The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday rose by +0.36% and posted a 2-year high. The dollar recovered from early losses Thursday and moved higher on better-than-expected...

  • Dollar Jumps to a 2-Year High on a Hawkish Fed

    The dollar index (DXY00 ) Wednesday rose by +1.04% and posted a 2-year high. The dollar rallied Wednesday after the FOMC signaled only 50 bp of interest...

  • Dollar Slightly Higher Before Fed Rate Decision

    The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is trading slightly higher on speculation the Fed will signal a pause in its rate-cutting cycle after cutting rates by...

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