Options Insight: Bear Call Spread Screener Results for October 19th

A bear call spread is a type of vertical spread, meaning that two options within the same expiry month are being traded.

One call option is being sold, which generates a credit for the trader. Another call option is bought to provide protection against an adverse move.

The sold call is always closer to the stock price than the bought call.

As the name suggests, this trade does best when the stock declines after the trade is open.

However, there can be many cases where this trade can make a profit if the stock stays flat and even if it rises slightly.

Bear call spreads are risk defined trades, there are no naked options here, so they can be traded in retirement accounts such as an IRA.

Traders should have a bearish outlook on the stock and ideally look to enter when the stock has a high implied volatility rank.

Let’s take a look at Barchart’s Bear Call Spread Screener for October 19th:

As you can see, the screener shows some interesting Bear Call Spread trades on stocks such as COST, META, NVDA, TMUS, INTC, AMGN, X and AMZN.

Below are the full parameters for this scan:

• Days to expiration: 15 to 60 days
• Monthly Expirations
• Security Type: Stock
• Volume Leg 1: 100
• Open Interest Leg 1: 500
• Moneyness Leg 1: -10.00% to 0.00%
• Breakeven Probability: Above 25%
• Volume Leg 2: 100
• Open Interest Leg 2: 500
• Ask Price Leg 2: Greater than 0.05

Let’s look at the fourth line item – a Bear Call Spread on Nvidia stock.

Using the November 17 expiry, the trade would involve selling the $425 call and buying the $435 call. 

That spread could be sold for around $4.35 which means the trader would receive $435 into their account. The maximum risk is $565 for a total profit potential of 85.19% with a probability of 55.7%.

The breakeven price is $429.35. This can be calculated by taking the short call strike and adding the premium received.

As the spread is $10 wide, the maximum risk in the trade is 10 – 4.35 x 100 = $565.

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Let’s strengthen the screener by adding only stock with an 80% or greater Sell Rating.

This gives us these results:

Let’s analyze the first result – a Bear Call Spread on Freeport McMoran (FCX).

This Bear Call Spread on FCX stock involves selling the $36-strike November call and buying the $37-strike call.

That spread could be sold for around $0.40 which means the trader would receive $40 into their account. The maximum risk is $0.60 for a total profit potential of 66.67% with a probability of 57.5%.

The breakeven price is $36.40.

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

FCX is showing an IV Percentile of 51% and an IV Rank of 28.34%.

Mitigating Risk

Thankfully, Bear Call Spreads are risk defined trades, so they have some build in risk management. The most the FCX example can lose is $60.

Position sizing is important so that a 100% loss does not cause more than a 1-2% loss in total portfolio value.

Bear Call Spreads can also contain early assignment risk, so be mindful of that if the stock breaks through the short strike and it’s getting close to expiry.

Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. 

This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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