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Gold Aug '24 (GCQ24)

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Gold Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Sharply on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and ended the day down -0.72%.  The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy and caused weaker US interest rate differentials with the 10-year T-note yield down -4 bp.  In addition, Friday’s US personal spending and consumer sentiment reports were slightly weaker than expected.

The dollar was also undercut by US political uncertainty as the US government faced a shutdown at midnight Friday if Congress does pass a stop-gap spending bill.

Friday’s PCE price index report was a bit weaker than expected, which could give the FOMC a bit more leeway to cut interest rates.  The Nov PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.4% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.5% y/y.  The Nov core PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.8% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.9% y/y.

Friday’s headline Nov PCE price index report of +2.... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gold 100-oz
Contract Size
100 fine troy ounces
Tick Size
0.10 (10 cents) per troy ounce ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:20a.m. - 12:30p.m.) (Settles 12:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$100
Margin/Maintenance
$12,650/11,500
First Notice Date
07/31/24
Expiration Date
08/28/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gold Aug '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
61,012 (-5,013)
346,245 (-16,651)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
302,978 (-21,354)
40,937 (-7,809)
Producers - Long / Short
9,971 (-1,233)
82,426 (+4,777)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
32,522 (-790)
245,300 (-18,438)
Managed Money - Long / Short
201,880 (-16,602)
18,378 (-4,026)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
101,098 (-4,752)
22,559 (-3,783)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2,367.3 +5.65%
on 07/29/24
2,527.3 -1.04%
on 08/20/24
+120.0 (+5.04%)
since 07/26/24
3-Month
2,304.2 +8.54%
on 06/07/24
2,527.3 -1.04%
on 08/20/24
+121.7 (+5.11%)
since 05/28/24
52-Week
1,899.6 +31.66%
on 10/05/23
2,527.3 -1.04%
on 08/20/24
+477.0 (+23.57%)
since 08/28/23

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Lean Hogs calendar spread and a Copper calendar spread

Lean Hogs have been grinding higher since mid-August, corrected, and have now broken through the top of the pennant. However, there is additional overhead resistance to fight through.  Given the overbought...

Dollar Falls Sharply on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and ended the day down -0.72%. The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy...

DXY00 : 107.621s (-0.73%)
GCG25 : 2,645.1s (+1.42%)
SIH25 : 29.958s (+1.86%)
^USDJPY : 156.413 (-0.65%)
^EURUSD : 1.04292 (+0.64%)
Dollar Falls on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and is currently down -0.32%. The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy and caused...

DXY00 : 107.621s (-0.73%)
^USDJPY : 156.413 (-0.65%)
^EURUSD : 1.04292 (+0.64%)
Precious Metals Edge Higher! - Can The Rally Hold?

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Is Silver Headed to the Figurative Glue Factory?

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SIH25 : 29.958s (+1.86%)
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Dollar Climbs on Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday rose by +0.36% and posted a 2-year high. The dollar recovered from early losses Thursday and moved higher on better-than-expected US economic news. The dollar also had...

DXY00 : 107.621s (-0.73%)
GCG25 : 2,645.1s (+1.42%)
SIH25 : 29.958s (+1.86%)
^USDJPY : 156.413 (-0.65%)
^EURUSD : 1.04292 (+0.64%)
Is Consolidation in Silver Bullish?

Silver futures traded to the highest price since October 2012, reaching $35.07 per ounce in October 2024. While silver has pulled back, the price remains over the $30 level in late 2024 and could be on...

SIH25 : 29.958s (+1.86%)
GCG25 : 2,645.1s (+1.42%)
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Bargain Hunters Step into the Precious Metals Overnight

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How Gold Became One of the World's Favorite Assets

For the past 50 years, Gold futures have served as the global benchmark for gold pricing.

Dollar Jumps to a 2-Year High on a Hawkish Fed

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Wednesday rose by +1.04% and posted a 2-year high. The dollar rallied Wednesday after the FOMC signaled only 50 bp of interest rate cuts next year, down from a September projection...

DXY00 : 107.621s (-0.73%)
GCG25 : 2,645.1s (+1.42%)
SIH25 : 29.958s (+1.86%)
^USDJPY : 156.413 (-0.65%)
^EURUSD : 1.04292 (+0.64%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 2,501.0
2nd Resistance Point 2,501.0
1st Resistance Point 2,501.0
Last Price 2,501.0s
1st Support Level 2,501.0
2nd Support Level 2,501.0
3rd Support Level 2,501.0

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52-Week High 2,527.3
Last Price 2,501.0s
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,287.5
Fibonacci 50% 2,213.5
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,139.4
52-Week Low 1,899.6

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