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Silver Mar '25 (SIH25)

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Silver Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Sharply on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and ended the day down -0.72%.  The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy and caused weaker US interest rate differentials with the 10-year T-note yield down -4 bp.  In addition, Friday’s US personal spending and consumer sentiment reports were slightly weaker than expected.

The dollar was also undercut by US political uncertainty as the US government faced a shutdown at midnight Friday if Congress does pass a stop-gap spending bill.

Friday’s PCE price index report was a bit weaker than expected, which could give the FOMC a bit more leeway to cut interest rates.  The Nov PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.4% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.5% y/y.  The Nov core PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.8% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.9% y/y.

Friday’s headline Nov PCE price index report of +2.... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Silver 5,000-oz
Contract Size
5,000 troy ounces
Tick Size
$0.005 per troy ounce ($25.00 per contract) (Settlement $0.001)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 7:25a.m. - 12:25p.m.) (Settles 12:25p.m.) CST
Exchange
COMEX
Point Value
$5,000
Margin/Maintenance
$12,650/11,500
First Notice Date
02/28/25 (68 days)
Expiration Date
03/27/25 (95 days)

Seasonal Chart

Silver Mar '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
35,135 (-1,241)
92,645 (-3,574)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
68,183 (-4,332)
27,919 (-3,431)
Producers - Long / Short
3,358 (+798)
37,390 (-461)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
26,884 (-162)
50,362 (-1,236)
Managed Money - Long / Short
40,317 (-6,573)
18,438 (+868)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
27,866 (+2,241)
9,481 (-4,299)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
29.145 +3.55%
on 12/19/24
33.330 -9.45%
on 12/12/24
-1.596 (-5.02%)
since 11/22/24
3-Month
29.145 +3.55%
on 12/19/24
35.530 -15.06%
on 10/23/24
-1.284 (-4.08%)
since 09/23/24
52-Week
23.328 +29.37%
on 02/13/24
35.530 -15.06%
on 10/23/24
+4.419 (+17.15%)
since 12/22/23

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Lean Hogs calendar spread and a Copper calendar spread

Lean Hogs have been grinding higher since mid-August, corrected, and have now broken through the top of the pennant. However, there is additional overhead resistance to fight through.  Given the overbought...

Dollar Falls Sharply on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and ended the day down -0.72%. The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy...

DXY00 : 107.720 (+0.09%)
GCG25 : 2,640.3 (-0.18%)
SIH25 : 30.180 (+0.74%)
^USDJPY : 156.505 (+0.06%)
^EURUSD : 1.04411 (+0.11%)
Dollar Falls on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and is currently down -0.32%. The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy and caused...

DXY00 : 107.720 (+0.09%)
^USDJPY : 156.505 (+0.06%)
^EURUSD : 1.04411 (+0.11%)
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Is Silver Headed to the Figurative Glue Factory?

The hybrid silver market, part precious metal part industrial metal, continues to come under pressure to close out the year.

SIH25 : 30.180 (+0.74%)
SIY00 : 29.6698 (+0.58%)
Dollar Climbs on Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Thursday rose by +0.36% and posted a 2-year high. The dollar recovered from early losses Thursday and moved higher on better-than-expected US economic news. The dollar also had...

DXY00 : 107.720 (+0.09%)
GCG25 : 2,640.3 (-0.18%)
SIH25 : 30.180 (+0.74%)
^USDJPY : 156.505 (+0.06%)
^EURUSD : 1.04411 (+0.11%)
Is Consolidation in Silver Bullish?

Silver futures traded to the highest price since October 2012, reaching $35.07 per ounce in October 2024. While silver has pulled back, the price remains over the $30 level in late 2024 and could be on...

SIH25 : 30.180 (+0.74%)
GCG25 : 2,640.3 (-0.18%)
^BTCUSD : 95,794.70 (-0.86%)
Bargain Hunters Step into the Precious Metals Overnight

Bargain hunters take action overnight! Phil Streible breaks down the key levels in today’s Metals Minute. Don’t miss it!

How Gold Became One of the World's Favorite Assets

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Dollar Jumps to a 2-Year High on a Hawkish Fed

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Wednesday rose by +1.04% and posted a 2-year high. The dollar rallied Wednesday after the FOMC signaled only 50 bp of interest rate cuts next year, down from a September projection...

DXY00 : 107.720 (+0.09%)
GCG25 : 2,640.3 (-0.18%)
SIH25 : 30.180 (+0.74%)
^USDJPY : 156.505 (+0.06%)
^EURUSD : 1.04411 (+0.11%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 31.437
2nd Resistance Point 30.836
1st Resistance Point 30.397
Last Price 30.170
1st Support Level 29.357
2nd Support Level 28.756
3rd Support Level 28.317

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52-Week High 35.530
Fibonacci 61.8% 30.869
Last Price 30.170
Fibonacci 50% 29.429
Fibonacci 38.2% 27.989
52-Week Low 23.328

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