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Natural Gas Dec '23 (NGZ23)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Forecasts for Colder US Temps Boost Nat-Gas Prices

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24) on Monday closed up by +0.118 (+4.43%)

Dec nat-gas prices Monday recovered from early losses and rallied sharply as short covering emerged on forecasts for colder US temperatures, which could boost heating demand for nat-gas.   On Monday, the Commodity Weather Group said forecasts have shifted colder for parts of the West and central US from November 14-18.  

Lower-48 state dry gas production Monday was 100.5 bcf/day (-4.9% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Monday was 73.6 bcf/day (+1.5% y/y), according to BNEF.  LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals Monday were 12.8 bcf/day (-2.2% w/w), according to BNEF.

An increase in US electricity output is positive for nat-gas demand from utility providers.  The Edison Electric Institute reported last Wednesday that total US (lower-48) electricity output in the week ended October 26 rose +0.11% y/y to 71,417 GWh (gigawatt hours), and US electricity output in the 52-week... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,847/2,589
First Notice Date
11/29/23
Expiration Date
11/28/23 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Dec '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 29, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
692,824 (+3,272)
529,892 (-3,823)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
247,460 (+4,211)
413,633 (+4,199)
Producers - Long / Short
275,799 (+7,553)
293,288 (+5,960)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
216,249 (+10,410)
35,828 (+4,908)
Managed Money - Long / Short
187,718 (+6,100)
320,954 (+6,899)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
59,742 (-1,889)
92,679 (-2,700)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.669 +1.39%
on 11/28/23
3.630 -25.45%
on 10/31/23
-0.777 (-22.31%)
since 10/27/23
3-Month
2.669 +1.39%
on 11/28/23
3.756 -27.96%
on 10/09/23
-0.870 (-24.33%)
since 08/28/23
52-Week
2.669 +1.39%
on 11/28/23
6.088 -55.55%
on 11/30/22
-3.257 (-54.62%)
since 11/28/22

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CLZ24 : 71.54 (+0.10%)
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Forecasts for Colder US Temps Boost Nat-Gas Prices

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24 ) on Monday closed up by +0.118 (+4.43%) Dec nat-gas prices Monday recovered from early losses and rallied sharply as short covering emerged on forecasts for colder US...

NGZ24 : 2.787 (+0.22%)
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Cotton calendar spread and a Gasoline butterfly spread

Cotton broke through the downward wedge in mid-August but has moved sideways ever since.  Cotton has built a nice base to move up into seasonal strength.

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 2.937
2nd Resistance Point 2.876
1st Resistance Point 2.791
Last Price 2.706s
1st Support Level 2.645
2nd Support Level 2.584
3rd Support Level 2.499

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52-Week High 6.088
Fibonacci 61.8% 4.782
Fibonacci 50% 4.378
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.975
Last Price 2.706s
52-Week Low 2.669

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