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Natural Gas May '23 (NGK23)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Plummet as US Weather Forecasts Turn Warmer

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24) on Friday closed sharply lower by -0.210 (-6.29%)

Dec nat-gas prices Friday retreated from a 1-year nearest-futures high and settled sharply lower.  The shift in US weather forecasts on Friday to warmer from below-normal will reduce heating demand for gas and also sparked long liquidation in nat-gas futures.  On Friday, the Commodity Weather Group said forecasts turned warmer for the west and central parts of the US from December 2-6.  

Nat-gas prices have rallied sharply this week on carryover support from a rally in European nat-gas prices to a 1-year high on an escalation of the Ukraine-Russia conflict after Russia launched a hypersonic missile into Ukraine.  The US on Thursday also sanctioned Gazprombank, the last major Russian financial institution some central European countries use to pay for the gas they still buy from Russia, which increases the risk of a cut off of some of the remaining Russian natural gas flows to Europe.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,478/3,162
First Notice Date
04/27/23
Expiration Date
04/26/23 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas May '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 19, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
712,258 (-9,929)
554,580 (-15,907)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
236,932 (-18,431)
397,981 (-13,501)
Producers - Long / Short
278,506 (-8,363)
298,132 (-17,796)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
212,880 (+2,864)
35,576 (+6,319)
Managed Money - Long / Short
184,968 (-9,934)
307,657 (-24,736)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,964 (-8,497)
90,324 (+11,235)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.946 +8.79%
on 04/14/23
2.385 -11.24%
on 04/18/23
-0.098 (-4.42%)
since 03/27/23
3-Month
1.946 +8.79%
on 04/14/23
3.156 -32.92%
on 03/03/23
-0.849 (-28.62%)
since 01/27/23
52-Week
1.946 +8.79%
on 04/14/23
5.961 -64.49%
on 06/13/22
-2.186 (-50.80%)
since 04/27/22

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 2.400
2nd Resistance Point 2.337
1st Resistance Point 2.227
Last Price 2.117s
1st Support Level 2.054
2nd Support Level 1.991
3rd Support Level 1.881

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52-Week High 5.961
Fibonacci 61.8% 4.427
Fibonacci 50% 3.953
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.480
Last Price 2.117s
52-Week Low 1.946

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