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Natural Gas Oct '24 (NGV24)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Forecasts for Warm US Temps Boost Nat-gas Prices

October Nymex natural gas (NGV24) on Monday closed up by +0.068 (+2.95%).

Oct nat-gas prices Monday recovered from early losses and settled moderately higher.  Nat-gas prices rallied on forecasts for warm US temperatures that will boost nat-gas demand from electricity providers to run air conditioning.  NatGasWeather.com said Monday that warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected across most of the US from September 22-29.

Lower-48 state dry gas production Monday was 100 bcf/day (-0.7% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Monday was 71.8 bcf/day (+5.1% y/y), according to BNEF.  LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals Monday were 13 bcf/day (-2.0% w/w), according to BNEF.

A decrease in US electricity output is negative for nat-gas demand from utility providers.  The Edison Electric Institute reported last Wednesday that total US electricity output in the week ended September 7 fell -8.05% y/y to 82,941 GWh (gigawatt hours), although US electricity... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,990/2,719
First Notice Date
09/27/24 (11 days)
Expiration Date
09/26/24 (10 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Oct '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 10, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
583,226 (-17,513)
508,791 (-6,597)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
292,094 (-4,657)
379,699 (-17,345)
Producers - Long / Short
221,169 (-11,996)
279,609 (-5,467)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
175,067 (+1,349)
42,192 (+5,736)
Managed Money - Long / Short
217,922 (-1,891)
268,899 (-21,466)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
74,172 (-2,766)
110,800 (+4,121)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.021 +18.26%
on 08/28/24
2.407 -0.71%
on 09/13/24
+0.143 (+6.36%)
since 08/16/24
3-Month
1.991 +20.04%
on 08/05/24
3.071 -22.18%
on 06/20/24
-0.538 (-18.37%)
since 06/17/24
52-Week
1.991 +20.04%
on 08/05/24
3.648 -34.48%
on 11/03/23
-0.955 (-28.55%)
since 09/15/23

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Forecasts for Warm US Temps Boost Nat-gas Prices

October Nymex natural gas (NGV24 ) on Monday closed up by +0.068 (+2.95%). Oct nat-gas prices Monday recovered from early losses and settled moderately higher. Nat-gas prices rallied on forecasts for...

NGV24 : 2.386 (+0.55%)
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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 2.557
2nd Resistance Point 2.477
1st Resistance Point 2.425
Last Price 2.386
1st Support Level 2.293
2nd Support Level 2.213
3rd Support Level 2.161

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52-Week High 3.648
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.015
Fibonacci 50% 2.819
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.624
Last Price 2.386
52-Week Low 1.991

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