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Natural Gas Mar '24 (NGH24)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Forecasts for Colder US Temps Boost Nat-Gas Prices

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24) on Monday closed up by +0.118 (+4.43%)

Dec nat-gas prices Monday recovered from early losses and rallied sharply as short covering emerged on forecasts for colder US temperatures, which could boost heating demand for nat-gas.   On Monday, the Commodity Weather Group said forecasts have shifted colder for parts of the West and central US from November 14-18.  

Lower-48 state dry gas production Monday was 100.5 bcf/day (-4.9% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Monday was 73.6 bcf/day (+1.5% y/y), according to BNEF.  LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals Monday were 12.8 bcf/day (-2.2% w/w), according to BNEF.

An increase in US electricity output is positive for nat-gas demand from utility providers.  The Edison Electric Institute reported last Wednesday that total US (lower-48) electricity output in the week ended October 26 rose +0.11% y/y to 71,417 GWh (gigawatt hours), and US electricity output in the 52-week... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,847/2,589
First Notice Date
02/28/24
Expiration Date
02/27/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Mar '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 29, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
692,824 (+3,272)
529,892 (-3,823)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
247,460 (+4,211)
413,633 (+4,199)
Producers - Long / Short
275,799 (+7,553)
293,288 (+5,960)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
216,249 (+10,410)
35,828 (+4,908)
Managed Money - Long / Short
187,718 (+6,100)
320,954 (+6,899)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
59,742 (-1,889)
92,679 (-2,700)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.511 +6.88%
on 02/27/24
2.168 -25.51%
on 02/01/24
-0.560 (-25.75%)
since 01/26/24
3-Month
1.511 +6.88%
on 02/27/24
2.791 -42.14%
on 01/09/24
-1.136 (-41.29%)
since 11/27/23
52-Week
1.511 +6.88%
on 02/27/24
3.950 -59.11%
on 03/03/23
-2.072 (-56.20%)
since 02/27/23

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CLZ24 : 71.49 (+0.03%)
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CLZ24 : 71.49 (+0.03%)
RBZ24 : 2.0198 (+0.03%)
DXY00 : 103.892 (+0.01%)
Forecasts for Colder US Temps Boost Nat-Gas Prices

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24 ) on Monday closed up by +0.118 (+4.43%) Dec nat-gas prices Monday recovered from early losses and rallied sharply as short covering emerged on forecasts for colder US...

NGZ24 : 2.785 (+0.14%)
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December WTI crude oil (CLZ24 ) today is up +1.57 (+2.26%), and December RBOB gasoline (RBZ24 ) is up +0.0483 (+2.46%). Crude oil and gasoline prices today are moderately higher and climbed to 1-week highs....

CLZ24 : 71.49 (+0.03%)
RBZ24 : 2.0198 (+0.03%)
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NGZ24 : 2.785 (+0.14%)
Cotton calendar spread and a Gasoline butterfly spread

Cotton broke through the downward wedge in mid-August but has moved sideways ever since.  Cotton has built a nice base to move up into seasonal strength.

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Strong Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.929
2nd Resistance Point 1.824
1st Resistance Point 1.720
Last Price 1.615s
1st Support Level 1.511
2nd Support Level 1.406
3rd Support Level 1.302

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52-Week High 3.950
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.018
Fibonacci 50% 2.730
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.443
Last Price 1.615s
52-Week Low 1.511

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