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Natural Gas Apr '24 (NGJ24)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Plummet as US Weather Forecasts Turn Warmer

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24) on Friday closed sharply lower by -0.210 (-6.29%)

Dec nat-gas prices Friday retreated from a 1-year nearest-futures high and settled sharply lower.  The shift in US weather forecasts on Friday to warmer from below-normal will reduce heating demand for gas and also sparked long liquidation in nat-gas futures.  On Friday, the Commodity Weather Group said forecasts turned warmer for the west and central parts of the US from December 2-6.  

Nat-gas prices have rallied sharply this week on carryover support from a rally in European nat-gas prices to a 1-year high on an escalation of the Ukraine-Russia conflict after Russia launched a hypersonic missile into Ukraine.  The US on Thursday also sanctioned Gazprombank, the last major Russian financial institution some central European countries use to pay for the gas they still buy from Russia, which increases the risk of a cut off of some of the remaining Russian natural gas flows to Europe.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,478/3,162
First Notice Date
03/27/24
Expiration Date
03/26/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Apr '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 19, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
712,258 (-9,929)
554,580 (-15,907)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
236,932 (-18,431)
397,981 (-13,501)
Producers - Long / Short
278,506 (-8,363)
298,132 (-17,796)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
212,880 (+2,864)
35,576 (+6,319)
Managed Money - Long / Short
184,968 (-9,934)
307,657 (-24,736)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,964 (-8,497)
90,324 (+11,235)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.481 +6.35%
on 03/26/24
2.009 -21.60%
on 03/05/24
-0.169 (-9.69%)
since 02/26/24
3-Month
1.481 +6.35%
on 03/26/24
2.717 -42.03%
on 01/09/24
-0.661 (-29.56%)
since 12/26/23
52-Week
1.481 +6.35%
on 03/26/24
3.325 -52.63%
on 10/09/23
-1.686 (-51.70%)
since 03/24/23

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.820
2nd Resistance Point 1.734
1st Resistance Point 1.654
Last Price 1.575s
1st Support Level 1.488
2nd Support Level 1.402
3rd Support Level 1.322

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52-Week High 3.325
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.621
Fibonacci 50% 2.403
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.185
Last Price 1.575s
52-Week Low 1.481

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