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Natural Gas Aug '23 (NGQ23)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Plummet as US Weather Forecasts Turn Warmer

December Nymex natural gas (NGZ24) on Friday closed sharply lower by -0.210 (-6.29%)

Dec nat-gas prices Friday retreated from a 1-year nearest-futures high and settled sharply lower.  The shift in US weather forecasts on Friday to warmer from below-normal will reduce heating demand for gas and also sparked long liquidation in nat-gas futures.  On Friday, the Commodity Weather Group said forecasts turned warmer for the west and central parts of the US from December 2-6.  

Nat-gas prices have rallied sharply this week on carryover support from a rally in European nat-gas prices to a 1-year high on an escalation of the Ukraine-Russia conflict after Russia launched a hypersonic missile into Ukraine.  The US on Thursday also sanctioned Gazprombank, the last major Russian financial institution some central European countries use to pay for the gas they still buy from Russia, which increases the risk of a cut off of some of the remaining Russian natural gas flows to Europe.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,478/3,162
First Notice Date
07/28/23
Expiration Date
07/27/23 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Aug '23
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 19, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
712,258 (-9,929)
554,580 (-15,907)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
236,932 (-18,431)
397,981 (-13,501)
Producers - Long / Short
278,506 (-8,363)
298,132 (-17,796)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
212,880 (+2,864)
35,576 (+6,319)
Managed Money - Long / Short
184,968 (-9,934)
307,657 (-24,736)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,964 (-8,497)
90,324 (+11,235)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.463 +1.18%
on 07/27/23
2.878 -13.41%
on 06/28/23
-0.297 (-10.65%)
since 06/27/23
3-Month
2.244 +11.05%
on 06/01/23
2.936 -15.12%
on 06/26/23
-0.125 (-4.78%)
since 04/27/23
52-Week
2.244 +11.05%
on 06/01/23
5.951 -58.12%
on 09/06/22
-2.535 (-50.43%)
since 07/27/22

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Nat-Gas Prices Plummet as US Weather Forecasts Turn Warmer

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 2.794
2nd Resistance Point 2.722
1st Resistance Point 2.607
Last Price 2.492s
1st Support Level 2.420
2nd Support Level 2.348
3rd Support Level 2.233

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52-Week High 5.951
Fibonacci 61.8% 4.535
Fibonacci 50% 4.097
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.660
Last Price 2.492s
52-Week Low 2.244

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