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Natural Gas Mini Jan '25 (QGF25)

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Natural Gas Mini Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Surge on Cold US Weather Outlook for January

January Nymex natural gas (NGF25) on Friday closed up +0.116 (+3.52%), adding to Thursday's rally of +5.81%.

Jan nat-gas prices rallied sharply on Friday and extended this week's rally to a 1-month high.  Prices rallied on the prospects for colder US temperatures that would boost heating demand for nat-gas.  EBW AnalyticsGroup said the longer-range weather outlook is for a mid-January cold spell in the southern US that could lead to freeze-offs and nat-gas production disruptions.

Lower-48 state dry gas production Friday was 104.7 bcf/day (-1.7% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Friday was 103.9 bcf/day (+5.8% y/y), according to BNEF.  LNG net flows to US LNG export terminals Friday were 14.6 bcf/day (+8.8% w/w), according to BNEF.

An increase in US electricity output is positive for nat-gas demand from utility providers.  The Edison Electric Institute reported Wednesday that total US (lower-48) electricity output in the week ended December 14 rose... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
E-Mini Natural Gas
Contract Size
2,500 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.005 per MMBtu ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$2,500
Margin/Maintenance
$860/782
First Notice Date
12/26/24 (3 days)
Expiration Date
12/26/24 (3 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Mini Jan '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jan Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.975 +22.52%
on 12/04/24
3.945 -7.60%
on 12/23/24
+0.358 (+10.89%)
since 11/22/24
3-Month
2.815 +29.48%
on 11/04/24
3.945 -7.60%
on 12/23/24
+0.083 (+2.33%)
since 09/23/24
52-Week
2.815 +29.48%
on 11/04/24
4.195 -13.11%
on 06/11/24
-0.115 (-3.06%)
since 12/22/23

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 4.134
2nd Resistance Point 3.979
1st Resistance Point 3.864
Last Price 3.595
1st Support Level 3.594
2nd Support Level 3.439
3rd Support Level 3.324

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52-Week High 4.195
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.668
Last Price 3.595
Fibonacci 50% 3.505
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.342
52-Week Low 2.815

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