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Ultra 10-Year T-Note Mar '24 (TNH24)

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Ultra 10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks Settle Higher as Strength in US Payrolls Signals Economic Resilience

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) Friday closed up by +0.90%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up by +0.81%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up by +1.22%.

Stocks rallied Friday as a stronger-than-expected US Sep payroll report bolstered the outlook for a soft landing.  However, gains in stock indexes were limited as the strong payroll report pushed the 10-year T-note yield to a 1-3/4 month high and reduced the chances of a -50 bp Fed rate cut at the November 6-7 FOMC meeting to 0% from 35% on Thursday. 

The prospect of escalating conflict in the Middle East has dampened the appetite for risk assets and is a negative factor for stocks. The US and its allies warned of “uncontrollable escalation” in the Middle East after Israel carried out bombing raids overnight near Beirut airport aimed at Hezbollah commanders and facilities.  The markets are awaiting Israel’s response to Tuesday’s missile barrage from Iran after Israeli Prime Minister Netan... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra 10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,860/2,600
First Notice Date
02/29/24
Expiration Date
03/19/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra 10-Year T-Note Mar '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 1, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,581,684 (+30,362)
1,439,044 (-16,518)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
335,403 (+1,973)
415,952 (+44,843)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
22,194 (-3,706)
213,474 (-5,174)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,042,505 (+51,297)
694,980 (-6,434)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
245,245 (-6,039)
399,031 (+70,165)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
155,783 (+6,576)
96,151 (-14,439)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
113-000 +0.50%
on 02/22/24
115-305 -2.06%
on 03/08/24
-0-005 (-0.01%)
since 02/16/24
3-Month
113-000 +0.50%
on 02/22/24
118-240 -4.37%
on 12/27/23
-3-295 (-3.34%)
since 12/19/23

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We explore how the stock market (and the various pie slices of the market) fared once the Federal Reserve begins paring back its benchmark interest rate.

Stocks Settle Higher as Strength in US Payrolls Signals Economic Resilience

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Friday closed up by +0.90%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up by +0.81%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up by +1.22%. Stocks rallied...

AMAT : 201.97 (+1.19%)
CVS : 64.59 (+2.65%)
AZEK : 43.79 (-5.01%)
AVGO : 176.64 (+2.76%)
DHI : 184.64 (-2.93%)
RIVN : 10.44 (-3.15%)
$IUXX : 20,035.02 (+1.22%)
ZNZ24 : 112-270s (-0.93%)
PHM : 139.44 (-2.47%)
GFS : 39.65 (+1.80%)
AMD : 170.90 (+4.94%)
$DOWI : 42,352.75 (+0.81%)
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$CSHZ : 4,017.85 (+8.48%)
MAR : 254.61 (+2.06%)
Market Volatility Shines a Light on Overnight Risk Management

The interconnectedness of the global financial system means that events in one region can have immediate ripple effects globally. Amid volatility in early August, trading volume in CME Group futures and...

Stocks Supported as US Payroll Report Underscores Economic Strength

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up by +0.23%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.05%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.52%. Stocks rallied today as...

CVS : 64.59 (+2.65%)
AZEK : 43.79 (-5.01%)
AVGO : 176.64 (+2.76%)
DHI : 184.64 (-2.93%)
VZ : 44.18 (-0.76%)
ADI : 228.23 (+0.74%)
RIVN : 10.44 (-3.15%)
TXN : 202.71 (+0.52%)
$IUXX : 20,035.02 (+1.22%)
ZNZ24 : 112-270s (-0.93%)
LNW : 93.39 (+4.39%)
PHM : 139.44 (-2.47%)
Credit Futures: What We’re Hearing from Clients

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Stocks Rally as a Strong US Jobs Report Bolsters Soft-Landing Prospects

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up by +0.71%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.52%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +1.19%. Stocks rallied today as...

AMAT : 201.97 (+1.19%)
CVS : 64.59 (+2.65%)
AZEK : 43.79 (-5.01%)
DHI : 184.64 (-2.93%)
VZ : 44.18 (-0.76%)
ADI : 228.23 (+0.74%)
RIVN : 10.44 (-3.15%)
TXN : 202.71 (+0.52%)
$IUXX : 20,035.02 (+1.22%)
ZNZ24 : 112-270s (-0.93%)
LNW : 93.39 (+4.39%)
PHM : 139.44 (-2.47%)
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Stocks Close Lower on Geopolitical Uncertainty

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Thursday closed down by -0.17%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down by -0.44%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down by -0.05%. Stocks...

MPC : 171.98 (-1.64%)
HIMS : 17.66 (+3.09%)
MKTX : 273.65 (-0.11%)
SLB : 45.46 (+1.27%)
MRO : 28.99 (+1.58%)
TSCO : 294.97 (+1.07%)
$IUXX : 20,035.02 (+1.22%)
STM : 28.43 (+0.67%)
LEVI : 19.82 (+1.95%)
ZNZ24 : 112-270s (-0.93%)
OXY : 55.76 (+1.77%)
TSLA : 250.08 (+3.91%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 114-010
2nd Resistance Point 113-275
1st Resistance Point 113-230
Last Price 113-180s
1st Support Level 113-130
2nd Support Level 113-075
3rd Support Level 113-030

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52-Week High 119-105
Fibonacci 61.8% 114-280
Last Price 113-180s
Fibonacci 50% 113-165
Fibonacci 38.2% 112-045
52-Week Low 107-220

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