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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (^AUDUSD)

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Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Falls Sharply on Dovish US PCE Inflation Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday edged to a new 2-year high but then fell back and ended the day down -0.72%.  The dollar was undercut by the US PCE deflator report, which was dovish for Fed policy and caused weaker US interest rate differentials with the 10-year T-note yield down -4 bp.  In addition, Friday’s US personal spending and consumer sentiment reports were slightly weaker than expected.

The dollar was also undercut by US political uncertainty as the US government faced a shutdown at midnight Friday if Congress does pass a stop-gap spending bill.

Friday’s PCE price index report was a bit weaker than expected, which could give the FOMC a bit more leeway to cut interest rates.  The Nov PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.4% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.5% y/y.  The Nov core PCE price index rose +0.1% m/m and +2.8% y/y, a bit weaker than expectations of +0.2% m/m and +2.9% y/y.

Friday’s headline Nov PCE price index report of +2.... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
111,276 (-608)
40,177 (-72,442)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
32,929 (-55,822)
94,460 (+14,194)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
87,191 (+37,630)
1,212 (-35,329)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
25,759 (-21,353)
87,278 (+5,393)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
18,786 (-8,965)
40,905 (+8,767)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
9,572 (-26,284)
2,345 (+379)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.61993 +0.54%
on 12/19/24
0.65495 -4.84%
on 11/25/24
-0.02689 (-4.14%)
since 11/22/24
3-Month
0.61993 +0.54%
on 12/19/24
0.69418 -10.22%
on 09/30/24
-0.06052 (-8.85%)
since 09/23/24
52-Week
0.61993 +0.54%
on 12/19/24
0.69418 -10.22%
on 09/30/24
-0.05675 (-8.35%)
since 12/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

See More Share

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.63384
2nd Resistance Point 0.63064
1st Resistance Point 0.62790
Last Price 0.62320
1st Support Level 0.62196
2nd Support Level 0.61876
3rd Support Level 0.61602

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52-Week High 0.69418
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.66582
Fibonacci 50% 0.65706
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.64829
Last Price 0.62320
52-Week Low 0.61993

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