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Natural Gas Jul '21 (NGN21)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Sharply Higher as US Weather Forecasts Shift Warmer

August Nymex natural gas (NGQ24) on Monday closed sharply higher by +0.123 (+5.78%).

Aug nat-gas prices posted sharp gains as US weather forecasts turned warmer, which will boost nat-gas demand from electricity providers to run air conditioning.  Maxar said Monday that forecasts shifted warmer for most of the US except the South.

Nat-gas prices have been undercut by the glut of US nat-gas supplies, with nat-gas inventories +16.9% above their 5-year seasonal average as of July 12.  Also, an outage at the Freeport liquified natural gas terminal has reduced US gas exports and boosted already bloated inventories.  The Freeport LNG terminal slowly began to restart after Hurricane Beryl damaged part of the plant.  The Freeport LNG plant is one of the largest in the US and can liquefy as much as 2% of US daily gas production.

Lower-48 state dry gas production Monday was 101.7 bcf/day (+0.4% y/y), according to BNEF.  Lower-48 state gas demand Monday was 76.4 bcf/day (+3.6%... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,840/2,582
First Notice Date
06/29/21
Expiration Date
06/28/21 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Jul '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 16, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
571,316 (+7,671)
497,116 (+19,058)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
304,237 (+13,897)
397,771 (+1,959)
Producers - Long / Short
230,020 (+6,869)
303,396 (+6,180)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
182,430 (-11,168)
34,854 (+908)
Managed Money - Long / Short
223,958 (+2,384)
283,913 (+26,652)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
80,279 (+11,513)
113,858 (-24,693)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3.010 +20.17%
on 06/04/21
3.631 -0.39%
on 06/28/21
+0.631 (+21.13%)
since 05/28/21
3-Month
2.616 +38.26%
on 04/06/21
3.631 -0.39%
on 06/28/21
+0.878 (+32.06%)
since 03/26/21
52-Week
2.472 +46.32%
on 12/28/20
3.631 -0.39%
on 06/28/21
+1.109 (+44.22%)
since 06/26/20

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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 3.816
2nd Resistance Point 3.724
1st Resistance Point 3.670
Last Price 3.617s
1st Support Level 3.524
2nd Support Level 3.432
3rd Support Level 3.378

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52-Week High 3.631
Last Price 3.617s
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.188
Fibonacci 50% 3.051
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.915
52-Week Low 2.472

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